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| Secretary of State John Kerry (google image) |
As US Secretary of State Kerry tries to deal with Iran's nuclear program the gaps preventing
a deal remain. There has been some agreement when it comes to some of the technical issues but reaching the goal by the deadline will be difficult. The structure must be agreed upon by both parties by the end of March. The State Department continues to report talks have been constructive despite issues of transparency, verification, and sanctions.
Will Iran's economy continue to suffer?
Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb?
Where the rubber meets the road...
White House officials have stated the chances are around fifty percent. The way I see it there is going to be a deal. The only alternative leads to war. It's just a mess really. Iran wants sanctions lifted immediately after a deal is struck and the US wants to see proof of their compliance first.
Who would be the first to give in? My guess is President Obama which is why even some Democrats agree Congress must approve any deal. If a deal is not reached and the US decides to increase sanctions it will not do much good if Russia and China don't come along. They won't! Iran will continue their nuclear program and Israel will eventually take action.
So to avoid war Obama will find some way to get a deal done even if it's not a good one. I know the 47 GOP sending the Iran leadership that "warning" letter didn't help matters but neither did President Obama pleading with the Iranian people directly to accept a deal. To be perfectly honest I am not to concerned about the particulars of a deal since Iran will end up breaking any deal with the "infidels".
Congress is trying to pass legislation that requires their approval but I'm sure the President would just veto it anyway. So in the end we will have some sort of deal. My guess if the deadline passes they will just continue to talk until something gets done. Nothing solves problems like deciding to just kick the can down the road.
What do you think?
In Closing...
"So I think we should stay focused on the real problem in the Middle East. It's not Israel. It's these dictatorships that are developing nuclear weapons with the specific goal of wiping Israel away." -Benjamin Netanyahu
Related Article:
http://www.cnn.com/2015/03/31/world/iran-nuclear-talks/
